Dated market timing signals across oil, crypto, equities and geopolitics — posted to subscribers before events resolve, not explained after. Every call timestamped. Every result published, hit or miss.
Each signal below was delivered to subscribers on the "called" date. The world caught up on the "confirmed" date. The timestamps exist before the events — that's the entire point.
#001
A Gulf state carries out military action against Iran.
CalledApr 1 · at 18¢→ConfirmedMay · WSJHit · market said 81% no
UAE struck Iran's Lavan refinery covertly in April. Confirmed by the Wall Street Journal weeks after the market resolved against it.
#005
Brent crude spikes above $120.
CalledApr 9 · oil at $98→ConfirmedApr 30 · $126Hit
Called the compression-to-spike three weeks early.
#013
Iran accepts a forced agreement — submission dressed as a deal.
CalledApr 24→ConfirmedMay 28Hit
Called the framing before any deal existed. Analysts later used the same words about the signed MOU.
#035
SpaceX trades 15%+ below its post-IPO peak.
CalledJun 11 · before it traded→ConfirmedJun 28 · −32%Hit · pre-IPO call
Posted the day before the largest IPO in history began trading.
#036
The next mega-IPO gets postponed behind SpaceX.
CalledJun 11→ConfirmedJun 26 · OpenAIHit
OpenAI delayed to 2027 — citing SpaceX's post-IPO volatility by name.
#031
The Iran ceasefire framework breaks down before Aug 15.
CalledMay 30→ConfirmedJun 27Hit · 46 days early
Signed Jun 17. Trading strikes by Jun 27. It has fractured twice more since.
#006
The Strait of Hormuz stays closed — no normalization by May 31.
CalledApr 13→ConfirmedMay 31Hit
Traffic fell from ~95 transits a day to a handful. Never meaningfully reopened.
#026
Visible public dissent inside Iran becomes internationally newsworthy.
CalledMay 21→ConfirmedJun · 135+ protestsHit
June alone: 135+ separate protests and strikes across the country.
#018
Bitcoin makes no new all-time high before July 1.
CalledMay 2→ConfirmedJul 1Hit
BTC held in the $59K–$65K containment band the whole window against a $126K high. Never came close.
#021
Brent crude retests $105+ before May 31.
CalledMay 8→ConfirmedMay · $110–116Hit
Brent held $105+ through most of May, tagging $116 before the deal-driven pullback.
#050
Brent trades above $90 between Jul 17 and Aug 15.
CalledJul 12→ConfirmedJul 22 · $92Hit
Threshold crossed inside the window, five days after it opened.
#051
A second maritime chokepoint faces closure or major disruption before Sep 30.
CalledJul 17→ConfirmedJul 23 · Bab el-MandebHit · 6 days
Two tankers struck, a formal maritime embargo declared, and Maersk, Hapag-Lloyd and CMA CGM paused all trans-Suez sailings.
#074
The Bank of Japan tightens again before December 31 — a further rate rise, or a 10-year government bond yield above 3.5%.
CalledSep 1→ConfirmedSep 18 · BOJ to 1.25%Hit · 17 days
The Bank of Japan raised to 1.25% — a 31-year high — and signalled further increases remain on the table. Resolved 104 days before the deadline.
#052
Bitcoin outperforms the Nasdaq-100 between Jul 17 and Sep 30.
Bitcoin ran from roughly $64K to the mid-$80Ks across the window, including its best August since 2017. The Nasdaq finished near record levels but nowhere near a comparable gain. The call was decoupling, not direction.
#073
The US 10-year Treasury yield closes above 5% before December 31.
CalledSep 1 · yield at 4.79%→ConfirmedMid-Sep · 5.04%Hit · resolved early
Crossed 5% in mid-September for the first time since 2007, then reached 5.35% on October 5 — the highest since 2002.
#069
Iran attacks commercial shipping or a foreign naval vessel in the Strait of Hormuz before October 31.
CalledAug 20→ConfirmedAug 31Hit
Confirmed eleven days after posting, two months before the deadline.
#062
The US launches a new direct strike on Iranian infrastructure before September 30.
CalledAug 10→ConfirmedAug 30 · Larak IslandHit
A direct US strike on Larak Island, inside the Strait of Hormuz.
#027
Bitcoin forms a visible structural low between July 15 and August 31.
CalledMay 21→ConfirmedAug 21 · above $77KHit
A grinding low in the low $60Ks, then the largest short liquidation in recorded crypto history. The call named that mechanism three months in advance.
#041
The War Powers resolution is defied — US operations in the Middle East resume or escalate within 60 days.
CalledJun 23 · day of the vote→ConfirmedJun 27 · strikesHit · 4 days
Congress passed the resolution on June 23. US strikes on Iran followed within days, operations resumed in full on July 7, and the naval blockade was reinstated on July 14.
#028
The Strait of Hormuz does not return to normal traffic within 60 days of any signed agreement.
CalledMay 28→ConfirmedAug · never normalisedHit
The memorandum was signed June 17. Ships were attacked July 6–7, the blockade returned July 14, and Gulf exports were still running about 40% below pre-war levels in August.
#025
No permanent US–Iran peace agreement before July 4.
CalledMay 21→ConfirmedJul 4Hit
The June memorandum was a framework with the nuclear issues deferred, not a permanent agreement. The ceasefire was declared over on July 8.
#019
The US–Iran memorandum fails to hold for 30 days.
CalledMay 8→ConfirmedJun 27 · day 10Hit
Signed June 17. Strikes resumed within ten days, and the ceasefire was declared over on day 21.
#009
The Federal Reserve reverses its policy language at the June meeting.
CalledApr 19→ConfirmedJun 17Hit
Rates were held, but the easing bias and all forward guidance were removed, and the committee’s projections turned toward hikes — a surprise to most forecasters.
#049
No contentious Bitcoin chain split produces a surviving, materially traded asset before September 30.
CalledJul 9→ConfirmedSep 30Hit
The August fork phase issued only practice tokens. Bitcoin itself was unaffected.
#010
The US and Iran return to direct military engagement before May 9.
CalledApr 19→ConfirmedLate AprilHit
Confirmed within days of posting, after the Strait was re-closed on April 19.
The misses are published too. Signal #004 called an internal coup attempt in Iran by June 30 — the system consolidated instead. Miss. Signal #008 called no new S&P highs before June 30 — the market made repeated highs. Miss. Signal #014 called China formally breaking a major bilateral relationship by September 30 — Beijing stabilised its relationships instead. Miss. Signal #016 called a forced US strategic retreat in July–August — the US escalated rather than retreated. Miss. Signal #020 called a dovish turn at the June Fed meeting — the committee turned hawkish. Miss. Signal #029 called the S&P below 6,000 by August 28 — it finished the window near 7,700. Miss. Signal #030 called capital rotating into Korean equities through September — the Kospi fell 18.8% in the quarter while the S&P rose. Miss. Signal #047 called the AI unwind spreading into a broad equity decline from mid-July — US indices rose instead. Miss. Signal #032 called Ethereum above $3,000 by September 30 — it stopped near $2,850. Miss. Signal #059 called Brent above $110 by September 30 — it peaked near $109. Miss. Signal #075 called the Fed holding in September — it raised 25bp. Miss. Three signals resolved Partial and count in the denominator but not the numerator: #015, #022 and #042. Signal #064 was voided because the event had already happened five days before it was logged. Number #017 was reserved but never published, and is excluded from every count. On October 9 every closed window was audited and scored: 25 hits from 39 resolved signals is 64%. No window has closed since that audit, so the figure stands unchanged this week. The pattern in the misses is consistent — direction largely right, timing or magnitude set too far — and later signals are calibrated to it. The other 36% is posted with the same discipline. That is what makes the 64% worth anything.
Open right now
51 calls already placed.
These are live. Every one was dated and delivered to subscribers before you read this line — direction, window, confidence and invalidation included. The board below shows what is running and when it resolves. It does not show which way.
Category
Open
Next resolves
GEOPOLITICS
20
Oct 30
CRYPTO
11
Oct 31
EQUITIES
7
Dec 31
MACRO
6
Oct 31
OIL
3
Oct 31
COMMODITIES
2
Dec 31
FOREX
2
Dec 31
Direction, bias and confidence are withheld here by design. Subscribers received all three on the posting date. The board is proof the desk is running, not a substitute for the signal.
Last confirmed hit: 30 September 2026 — Signal #052, seventy-five days after posting. Signal #073 was also confirmed early, in mid-September, and scored in the October 9 audit. Seventeen signals have been posted in the last 30 days, the most recent on 9 October. The nearest call on the board resolves on 30 October; thirty-one of the fifty-one resolve on or before 31 December, and twenty run into 2027.
Why it's not luck
Twelve calls. One map.
The Iran calls, the oil calls, the SpaceX calls and the IPO calls are not separate bets. They are pressure points on a single structure — a convergence map built in April that loads the heaviest weight on one window: October–December 2026.
Oil connects to Iran. Iran connects to the dollar. The dollar connects to equities. Equities connect to the IPO cycle. When one of them resolves, it confirms the shape of the whole map — and tells you what resolves next.
A prediction is a coin toss with confidence. A system tells you why this, why now, and what comes after. Subscribers aren't buying guesses — they're reading the map as it fills in.
The format
What a signal looks like.
A resolved signal, exactly as subscribers received it — direction, window, confidence, context, and what would kill it. No fluff, no lecture.
SIGNAL #031 | GEOPOLITICS
Question:Will the US–Iran ceasefire framework visibly break down before August 15?
Bias:Lean Yes
Window:June 1 – August 15, 2026
Confidence:Medium-High
Context: The extension announced May 28 is priced by markets as peace. The timing model reads it as a delay mechanism entering a structural stress window — the same 18-year pattern last seen in 2008: partial compliance, then renewed pressure within 60 days. The deal extends the ceasefire. It does not end the conflict.
Result: Signed June 17. Trading strikes by June 27. HIT — 46 days ahead of the deadline.
The terms
What you get
3–5 dated signals per week
Full data: direction, window, confidence, invalidation
Cross-referenced context — how each call connects to the map
Every resolution posted — hit or miss
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Not a course or educational product
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Methodology is never revealed
No hand-holding — you decide what to do with the data
Not financial advice
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The map has pointed at October–December 2026 since April. That window is open now. 51 signals are already open: 31 of them resolve inside it, the first on 30 October. Subscribers have been positioned since spring — the record above is what that positioning produced.